Predictive Markets is a tool which allows users to gain insight from different markets about a particular company.

We specialize in analyzing all of the available publicly-traded securities on a particular firm. 

When different securities on the same firm are telling different stories, our job is to alert you. Your job is to determine why the stories are different and what, if anything, to do about it.

Credit Default Swaps/Bonds/Loans

• Change in the Credit Market’s view of a firm
• Uses proprietary cumulative default scoring system to determine abnormal credit market sentiment changes

Listed Equity Options

• Volatility expectations generally (and changes to)
• Volatility expectations around events such as earnings, investor presentations, same store sales, drug/trial releases, etc.
• Takeover speculation
• Unannounced dividend changes
• Hard-to-Borrow (heavily shorted) status
• Changes to both volatility expectations generally and to the perceived likelihood of a stock going up or down

Convertible/Mandatory/Preferred Securities

• Changes to capital structure risk tiers
• Additional metrics of volatility and credit market expectations

The Principals of Predictive Markets came together precisely because their skill sets and experience were complementary, but not overlapping.  It is a group of specialists who all contribute the in-depth knowledge of their particular background toward the solution Predictive Markets offers.  The robust fulfillment of the Predictive Markets question requires access to a broad range of skill sets:

• Academia
• Derivatives Trading and Portfolio Management
• Equity and Fixed Income Trading and Portfolio Management
• Portfolio Optimization
• Mathematically-intensive Development (Coding)